Expanding the Legacy
Expanding the Legacy
More than technology, Silicon Valley produces hype. It is forever on the cusp of a major breakthrough, needing only a bit more cash for the magic to happen. In the 1990s it was the dot-com boom; in the 2000s nanotechnology; and in the 2010s blockchain and its crypto derivatives. All these hypes promised deliverance from some affliction suffered by mankind and usher in an era of peace, prosperity, and general wellbeing. The paperless office and global village came and went, as did the miraculous nanotech materials and all the pyramids that touched the heavens unlocking vast wealth to believers. More often than not, Silicon Valley offered solutions in search of a problem.
It remains an enduring mystery why about half of American voters idolise a convicted felon, philanderer, pathological liar, and failed businessman. Liberals struggle to comprehend the mood in the mythical ‘American heartland’ - more of a cultural entity than a landmass and usually defined as comprising the twelve landlocked states of the Midwest plus eastern portions of the Mountain States and bits of the Southern States up to West Virginia, Kentucky, and Tennessee. Urbanite liberals cannot make sense of the apparent disconnect between the well-documented misconduct of Donald Trump and the traditional ethical values espoused with great devotion by heartland conservatives.
If it’s not Ukraine, it’s Gaza or Lebanon. Thankfully, little rocket man is keeping quiet and China, at least for now, seems content to limit its threats to Taiwan to lowkey utterances of displeasure. Every week or so, there is disconcerting news on major belligerence unfolding somewhere: Russia creeping up in the Donbas; Ukraine advancing into Kursk Oblast, or Israel preparing for a ground war against Hizbollah. Poor secretary of state Antony Blinken. He shuttles all over to douse fires, cool down hotheads, warn foes, and manage recalcitrant allies - without much to show for it.
The job of venture capital (VC) fund managers involves making out with lots of frogs in the expectation that at least one of them turns into a prince. VC funds have enjoyed a great ride with a powerful business model that not only provided good returns but one with significant benefits to society as well. VC brings innovation and enables bright minds and lateral thinkers to prosper. Its absence is often mentioned to explain the dearth of tech champions in Europe. However, in the era of generative-ai capital is required on a much grander scale than VC can deliver.
Some people move so far beyond the pale and descend so deep into the unfathomable depths of surrealism that even the most gifted raconteur would have to accept the limits of his/her imagination and recognise the inadequacy of language to sketch and covey such departure from human sense and reason. Meet Mark Robinson. He’s the Republican Party’s nominee for the governorship of North Carolina and a self-proclaimed ‘evangelical christian’ who sports not only the obligatory stars-and-stripes pin on the lapel of his jacket, but also a cross which is now his to carry.
Turkeys do not usually vote for Christmas. Still, some people seem genuinely surprised and dismayed by the species’ instinct for self-preservation. Azerbaijan derives more than ninety percent of its export earnings from the sale of oil and natural gas. Each day, the country pumps about 750,000 barrels of oil and dumps 650,000 of them on the global market, bringing in close to $20 billion annually. In November, Azerbaijan is to host COP29, the annual gathering of some forty thousand jet-setting government officials, NGO delegates, and assorted camp followers such as staff, guests, reporters, and ‘parties overflow’, i.e. the merely curious who are allowed to nose around the conference premises as long as they do not partake in the proceedings.
Wars of conquest seldom end well for the would-be conqueror even if waged against a weaker neighbour. Somehow, those to be subjugated always seem to find unity in a resolve to spoil the plans and designs of the aggressor. Their plight is not dissimilar from the one that motivated colonised people to take on the world’s largest empires – and eject them from their native land.
Poor Francis. History didn’t end after all. Neither did liberalism triumph over the forces of evil. Possibly one of the most misunderstood or misinterpreted books of recent times, Francis Fukuyama’s The End of History and the Last Man did not necessarily imply a happy ending to humankind’s convoluted narrative. Rather, Prof Fukuyama argues that, after the inglorious demise of communism, democratic liberalism remains as the only viable political edifice able to promote wellbeing, ensure freedom, and shelter diversity.
In a scathing indictment of the country’s political elite, Lebanon tumbled some 25 places on the annual United Nations World Happiness Index and now ranks only above Afghanistan as the most depressed (and depressing) country in the world. Severely dysfunctional states such as Zimbabwe, Venezuela, and Somalia all trump the country formerly known as The Pearl of the East.
The dig is impossible to resist. On Thursday, tether – the world’s biggest ‘stablecoin’ – briefly became untethered from its dollar peg. Tether’s value sank to 95¢ before recovering to 97¢ That may seem a minor oscillation but indicates a bigger issue that does not bode well. Stablecoins are supposed to be, well, stable and fully backed by readily convertible assets. However, of late, the stablecoin universe has witnessed violent price swings and even implosions. TerraUSD (UST) last week crashed rather spectacularly after some minor initial wobbles not unlike those experienced by tether.
In President Vladimir Putin’s book everybody not excitedly cheering his ‘special military operation’ to liberate Ukraine is a Nazi. If the Russian press is to be believed, the worse of the lot are to be found in Finland and Sweden as those countries mull joining NATO – the new disguise of the Axis Powers. That blonde on platform shoes from Abba? A dancing Nazi. King Carl Gustav XVI? A royal Nazi. Prime Minister Sanna Marin of Finland? A closet Nazi. Her counterpart in Sweden Magdalena Andersson? A wannabe Nazi. The European Union? A conference of Nazis; and, of course, a thoroughly evil collective supporting its Ukrainian co-conspirator and Über Nazi Volodymyr Zelensky.
In a bear market, nobody can hear you scream. Equity markets are suffering a crash by stealth with reality nibbling away at asset values. Not long after he slipped into his job, Ben Bernanke, the two-term 14th chair of the US Federal Reserve (2006-2014), called quantitative easing – still a novelty in 2008 – a “great experiment that must be tried.” In the years that followed, the Fed duly flooded the market with an estimated $9 trillion.
The conventional reading of history postulates that humankind only embarked on a sustained and rapid trajectory of development after it shed the nomadic meanderings of prehistoric man and settled down to work the land and form communities. This first occurred in the Levant about 23,000 years ago. Here, Neolithic farmers domesticated and cultivated founder crops including barley, lentils, peas, flax, and emmer and einkorn wheat.
And just like that… the party was over. Wednesday’s stock market rally, sparked by the dovish comments of US Federal Reserve Chairperson Jay Powell, not only fizzled out but reversed with Nasdaq suffering its biggest drop since June 2020.
Markets may have disliked what Jay Powell had to say before; however, what he does now proves a bullseye hit – pardon the pun. The US Federal Reserve surprised no one when, at the end of a two-day policy meeting, its Open Market Committee yesterday unveiled a 0.5 percentage point rise in the federal fund rate. It was the first such robust hike in 22 years and the first back-to-back rate rise increase 2006. Usually, the central bank moves in 25 basis point increments.
A perennial favourite of investors, the snow clone ‘What Would Warren Do?’, has an answer. Warren buys oil and other blue chips that show exceptional generosity towards shareholders. Over the first quarter, Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway ploughed some $41 billion of its $147 billiion cash pile, mostly insurance float, into the stock market.
Africa AI Brazil Business Chile China Climate Corona Davos Debt Development Diplomacy Donald Trump Economy Elections Energy EU Europe Federal Reserve Finance France Germany HiFi History IMF Kamala Harris Military Monetary policy NATO Philosophy Politics Putin Russia Schwab Society South Africa Technology Trade Trump UK Ukraine UN US War WEF