Expanding the Legacy
Expanding the Legacy
Turkeys do not usually vote for Christmas. Still, some people seem genuinely surprised and dismayed by the species’ instinct for self-preservation. Azerbaijan derives more than ninety percent of its export earnings from the sale of oil and natural gas. Each day, the country pumps about 750,000 barrels of oil and dumps 650,000 of them on the global market, bringing in close to $20 billion annually. In November, Azerbaijan is to host COP29, the annual gathering of some forty thousand jet-setting government officials, NGO delegates, and assorted camp followers such as staff, guests, reporters, and ‘parties overflow’, i.e. the merely curious who are allowed to nose around the conference premises as long as they do not partake in the proceedings.
Once-upon-a-time it was believed that the prosperity generated by an economy was linked to the measure of freedom a society enjoyed. The belief held that liberal free societies would enjoy a greater growth in prosperity than those ruled by authoritarians. Then China came along and proved all that wrong: growth and affluence could be delivered by a totalitarian regime - and in spades.
China, Europe, and even the United States are all said to be at risk of ‘Japanification’: a protracted malaise of low growth, low inflation, low interest rates, and skewed demographics necessitating quantitative easing on a massive scale. A lost decade, sparked in 1991 by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) trying...
What goes up doesn’t necessarily have to come down. A case in point: China. The last time the country’s GDP contracted was in 1976 (-1.57%) – the year both Mao Zedong and Zhou Enlai passed away, the Cultural Revolution collapsed with the denunciation and purge of the Gang of Four,...
It is barely a secret that the ruling caste of present-day China seeks to return the country to its former magnificence, lost during the ‘Century of Humiliation’ (1839-1949). This was when Japan and the great western powers unceremoniously carved up the Middle Kingdom. Such a broad policy objective is eminently...
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